Consummate dilettantism!

Friday, January 4, 2008

Caucuses 2008

Huckabee and Obama win! I suppose this is a huge blow to Romney, whose millions seem to have come to naught. Still, I can't help but think that the Democrats are rejoicing in the Republicans' choosing "glass-jaw" Huckabee, and rightly so; if the Republicans end up nominating him, they deserve to lose.

Hillary's campaign has also suffered here, but I suspect she's following Giuliani's strategy of focusing on the well-populated East and West coasts.

Edwards pulled a surprising third. He's a fiery orator (dare I compare this guy?) in his railings against "corporate greed," all the more surprising given his fawning support from trial lawyers who themselves are no friends of big companies. Indeed the lawyers seem almost to make more money by suing the companies than the companies do themselves.

Bob Novak made a surprisingly accurate prediction yesterday. His lists were as follows:
Republicans
1st Place: Mitt Romney
2nd Place: Mike Huckabee
3rd Place: Fred Thompson
4th Place: John McCain

Democrats
1st Place: Barack Obama
2nd Place: John Edwards
3rd Place: Hillary Clinton
4th Place: Bill Richardson

Given the notorious difficulty inherent in predicting the outcomes of the caucuses, his accuracy is stunning. He got the Democrats' positions perfectly, and half of the Republicans', with the only reversal being that between Romney and Huckabee for second and first, respectively.

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